So it is the beginning of 2021 the UK Government (and others) are rushing to vaccinate everyone with one of the Covid-19 vaccines. Having instilled fear into the population people are clamouring for the vaccination.
First up I shall declare that I am not an anti-vaxer and that I have had many vaccines and I believe that in many circumstances they have been a massive benefit to public health.
But let’s step back and remind ourselves of a few things. Firstly around 99.75% of people survive catching Covid-19. This is now an accepted fact and I’ll refer you to the paper by John P A Ioannidis which is published on the WHO website. Thus it doesn’t matter if the vaccine stops people dying or not because it will almost be impossible to measure that fact. However, should it cause many deaths the drug companies have absolved themselves of all liability. They cannot lose – Kerching! The wide awake reader will be asking themselves ‘so what exactly is the point of the vaccine other than making money?” Congratulations you have just got straight to the crux of the matter.
However, the vaccine trials were never designed to show if they prevented deaths, stop transmission or reduce hospitalisations. I would love to do a survey of the public but I guarantee that 85% of people queuing for the vaccine, in the hope that their life can return to normal, firstly believe that the vaccine will prevent them catching Covid-19 and secondly have not been told by their medical professional that the drug they are having injected has never been tested to see if it does that.
‘Rubbish’ I hear you cry ‘that is the whole point of a vaccine’ (indeed it is – so can we even call these products vaccines? Are they nothing more than prophylactic medicines?). Well Peter Doshi is an associate editor at The British Medical Journal and is also an assistant professor of pharmaceutical health services research at the University of Maryland School of Pharmacy. His research focuses on policies related to drug safety and effectiveness evaluation in the context of regulation. Here’s what he has to say in the British Medical Journal.
“None of the trials currently under way are designed to detect a reduction in any serious outcome such as hospital admissions, use of intensive care, or deaths. Nor are the vaccines being studied to determine whether they can interrupt transmission of the virus.“
His follow up article about needing more detail and the raw data is also interesting.
The next thing we need to remind ourselves is that these vaccines have been rushed into production in record time, in some cases using ‘novel technology’ that has not been used before and which have not been tested for a number of things. The Information for UK Healthcare Professionals on the Covid-19 mRNA vaccine can be found here. Here are a few things that have not been tested.
So we have a novel type vaccine that has never been deployed before, developed in record time, for which the manufacturers have no legal liability, which has not been tested for several things being injected into the arms of millions of people as I type. What could possibly go wrong? Probably nothing other than a few inevitable bad adverse reactions and deaths as has already occurred in at least one case.
There are of course known theoretical issues such as the potential for causing a cytokine storm for example. But what if this novel technology has an unknown adverse effect that will not become apparent for say five years? What if, in several years time, people start developing cancers (for example) as a result of the technology? There will be no way to put the genie back in the bottle. Can you imagine the crisis that would then unfold as billions learn that they may die as a result of the vaccine? I am the first to say that this is highly unlikely but no one can say it is impossible. I am just pointing this out now, for the record.
We are embarking into the dark into the biggest ever experiment on human beings, without knowing all the facts and potential pitfalls. At best we will achieve very little but at worst we could threaten the survival of the whole human race. But then I’m just a stupid ‘conspiracy theorist’ living down a remote valley in rural Wales. And by the way I won’t be having the vaccine.